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:: year 7, Issue 28 (2016) ::
fa 2016, 7(28): 1-33 Back to browse issues page
The Usefulness of Support Vector Regression and Variables Reduction Methods in Stock Return Prediction
Mohammad-Hossein Setayesh1 , Mostafa Kazemnezhad *1
1- Shiraz University
Abstract:   (4352 Views)

The purpose of this research is investigating the usefulness of variables reduction and support vector regression in predicting stock returns of companies listed on Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). In this regard, through reviewing literature, 52 predictive features were specified as the initial features (variables) based on the popularity in the literature and the availability of the necessary data. By using correlation-based variables selection method and factor analysis variables extraction method, optimal variables (factors) are selected or extracted from initial variables. Subsequently, the stock returns of 101 firms listed on TSE from 2004 to 2013 were predicted utilizing nonlinear methods (support vector regression and artificial neural networks) and linear regression. The research results indicate that support vector regression outperforms the two other prediction methods and both nonlinear methods outperform the linear regression. Furthermore, the results confirmed the usefulness of variables reduction methods and existence of significant difference between usefulness amount of the correlation-based and factor analysis method

Keywords: Stock Return Prediction, Support Vector Regression, Variables Reduction Methods.
Full-Text [PDF 894 kb]   (3211 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Applicable | Subject: Special
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Setayesh M, kazemnezhad M. The Usefulness of Support Vector Regression and Variables Reduction Methods in Stock Return Prediction. fa 2016; 7 (28) :1-33
URL: http://qfaj.mobarakeh.iau.ir/article-1-551-en.html


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year 7, Issue 28 (2016) Back to browse issues page
فصلنامه حسابداری مالی Quarterly Financial Accounting
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