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:: year 8, Issue 30 (2016) ::
fa 2016, 8(30): 94-121 Back to browse issues page
Comparative Investigate of Hazard Model and traditional Models for Bankruptcy Predication
Nazanin Salehi1 , Majid Azimi yancheshmeh *1
1- Islamic Azad University, Mobarakeh Branch
Abstract:   (4596 Views)

In recent years, market and accounting information have been combined and hazard models have been made to predict financial distress ​​, but few studies have examined these models in the Iran economic environment. Therefore, the prediction power of bankruptcy hazard model of Shumway (2001) is compared with the accounting model of Pourheydari and Koopaee Haji (2010) and the contingent claims model of Bharath and Shumway (2008) in this study. This study is fundamental- experimental based on the purpose and it is correlation based on the method. To test hypothesis of research with intentionally omitting selected 242 non- financial firms consist 2281 firm- year of the Tehran Stock Exchange between 2004 and 2015. For data analysis, logistic regression function and Receiver Operating Characteristic curve were used. The results show that the hazard model for the bankruptcy prediction in the Iran economic environment is usable and it is more accurate than the traditional accounting models Pourheydari and Koopayee Haji (2010) and contingent claims model of Bharath and Shumway (2008).

Keywords: bankruptcy predication, Hazard model, traditional models, Receiver Operating Characteristic curve.
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Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
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salehi N, azimi yancheshmeh M. Comparative Investigate of Hazard Model and traditional Models for Bankruptcy Predication. fa 2016; 8 (30) :94-121
URL: http://qfaj.mobarakeh.iau.ir/article-1-861-en.html


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year 8, Issue 30 (2016) Back to browse issues page
فصلنامه حسابداری مالی Quarterly Financial Accounting
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